
From ClusterStock: The Compleat Nouriel Roubini, October 14, 2008 10:02 am
Never heard the full Nouriel Roubini horror speech? Well, now's a good a time as any. Some highlights from Nouriel's excellent opus on Bloomberg TV today (click for video):
- The $250 billion bank recapitalization is only the beginning. The government will soon have to re-up (because it hasn't dealt with the huge writedown problem), and it will eventually have to take a much more active role in bank management. Otherwise, we'll just have a plague of zombie banks, like Japan.
- House prices will fall 40%, worse than the Great Depression. (Sounds horrifying, but we're more than halfway there).
- Worst recession in 40 years, now projected to last 18-24 months.
- Stock market rally will sputter
- Economy is "really tanking"
- Total bank losses from crap debt will be "closer to $3 trillion" (up from previous estimate of $1-$2 trillion). This compares to about $650 billion of writeoffs so far.
- Our new $1 trillion annual deficits will likely cause Russia, China, and the other countries who are funding our spending spree to say, hey, wait a minute, why are we funding this banana republic. Raise our interest rate or we're history.
Related Posts :
- But What About The Next $750 Billion Of Writedowns?
- The Global Money Printing Probably Would Succeed Averting A "Mynsky Meltdown"
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1 comment:
It's funny that we have come about halfway if not more on the things highlighted in Nouriel's speech. We're in earnings season again and it is expected to see the next set of $500 billion in write downs, I think we can also add the total devaluation in shareholders equity from Fannie and Freddie and the failed banks....
Moyo @www.futurescafe.com/blog
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